U.S. Economic Growth Past and Future

Since at least 1870, the United States real GDP growth rate per capita has been about 2% per year. If this trend continues in the 21st century, the real average income per capita in the United States will be 7.24 times higher in 100 years. Currently, the United States has an estimated GDP per capita of $48,000. This means that by 2108 the GDP per capita of the United States will over, $300,000, adjusting for inflation. It is difficult to imagine a world where the average person makes over $300,000 per year.

Will the 2% real GDP per capita growth rate continue in the future? I guess only time will till..It is a possibility I would love to see happen.

China Recovery?

I have been largely positive on a Chinese economy recovery and the Chinese economy in general. However, evidence is coming in that is contradicting my China bullishness. Two days ago there was an article in Forbes very negative on China. Today a piece came out in the Telegraph by Ambrose Evans-Pritchard also very negative on the Chinese economy.

According to Evans-Pritchard,
"China's banks are veering out of control. The half-reformed economy of the People's Republic cannot absorb the $1,000bn (£600bn) blitz of new lending issued since December.

Money is leaking instead into Shanghai's stock casino, or being used to keep bankrupt builders on life support. It is doing very little to help lift the world economy out of slump."

The article goes on to lay out some of the troubles Chinese economy (and for that matter the global economy) may be in for. It is a very interesting read.

Anyone investing in China should be aware of this information; this information has made me reevaluate my very bullish position on the Chinese economy. I am now a tiped bull on China for the time being. However, it may be time to take some profits in Chinese stocks, after all the Shanghai composite index is up 70% since November. Having said that I think there are many great opportunities to invest in China, just exercise some prudent caution. Stay Tuned...